TPO is an enzyme crucial for thyroid hormone production. Antibodies against it reveal that the immune system is attacking the thyroid, which is the defining feature of autoimmune thyroiditis. Most people with high TPO antibodies do not have thyroid cancer, but because autoimmune inflammation and thyroid nodules frequently overlap, researchers have examined whether the antibodies might also predict cancer risk.
Large-scale analyses have found that the presence of TPO antibodies is sometimes linked with a modestly increased risk of differentiated thyroid cancer. A systematic review of over 30,000 patients reported that antibody-positive individuals had higher odds of thyroid cancer compared to those without antibodies, with the association particularly pronounced in East Asian populations.
A case-control study in Bangladesh showed that nearly half of thyroid cancer patients had elevated TPO antibodies compared to only 15% of healthy controls. A separate nested study in U.S. military personnel found that positive TPO antibodies measured years before diagnosis nearly doubled the likelihood of papillary thyroid cancer, with very high levels raising the risk even further. Together these findings suggest that in some populations, and at certain concentrations, high TPO antibodies may mark an elevated cancer risk.
Other research paints a strikingly different picture. In some large surgical cohorts, patients with high TPO antibodies actually had lower rates of thyroid cancer than those without antibodies. In one multicenter study of more than 1,600 thyroidectomy patients, cancer was present in almost half of those without antibodies but in only about one third of those with antibodies. As antibody levels increased, cancer risk decreased in a linear fashion, with very high titers showing the strongest protection. Another study confirmed this pattern and proposed that a robust autoimmune response might actively suppress tumor development.
More recently, international research on nearly 2,000 thyroidectomy cases revealed that aggressive thyroid cancers were more common in patients with very low or absent TPO antibodies, whereas those with higher titers were less likely to have aggressive disease. This suggests that in some contexts, strong autoimmunity might limit cancer growth, while tumors in antibody-negative individuals could evade immune detection more easily.
Why do some studies show increased risk while others show protection? Timing, population, and antibody levels likely all matter. In longstanding Hashimoto’s thyroiditis, chronic inflammation may create an environment that favors cancer development. In other patients, however, high titers of antibodies could signal heightened immune surveillance that suppresses malignancy. Population genetics may also play a role, with East Asian studies often showing stronger associations between antibody positivity and cancer compared to Western cohorts.
The pattern of antibody levels may be the key. Low to moderate antibody positivity might indicate an unstable immune environment that increases cancer susceptibility, while very high titers reflect strong immune activity that suppresses malignant cell growth. This could explain why some analyses find antibodies harmful, others protective, and many results somewhere in between.
High TPO antibodies are not a direct marker of cancer. They are most often a sign of autoimmune thyroiditis. While certain studies do link them to an increased likelihood of cancer, others demonstrate a protective effect, and even the strongest associations only modestly alter risk. The majority of people with elevated TPO antibodies will never develop thyroid cancer.
When evaluating cancer risk, antibody status should be considered alongside other important factors such as thyroid ultrasound findings, nodule characteristics, family history, prior radiation exposure, and thyroid hormone levels. Antibodies alone cannot diagnose or exclude cancer, but they do reflect the immune system’s state in the thyroid and may influence how cancers behave when they occur.
For patients, the presence of high TPO antibodies should prompt ongoing monitoring and careful evaluation rather than fear. For clinicians, antibody results provide useful context, but management decisions should be guided by a complete picture of thyroid health.